Publications

  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. Aging, fast and slow. IEEE Computer 55(5):73-75, 2022.
  • C. Mühlroth and M. Grottke. Artificial Intelligence in innovation: How to spot emerging trends and technologies. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 69(2):493-510, 2022.
  • C. Mühlroth, L. Kölbl, F. Wiser, M. Grottke, and C. Durst. Intelligente Bots für die Trendforschung – Eine explorative Studie. In S. D’Onofrio and A. Meier (eds.). Big Data Analytics – Grundlagen, Fallbeispiele und Nutzungspotenziale, pages 257-275, 2021.
  • A. Avritzer, M. Grottke, and D. S. Menasché. Using software aging monitoring and rejuvenation for the assessment of high-availability systems. In T. Dohi, A. Avritzer, and K. S. Trivedi (eds.). Handbook of Software Aging and Rejuvenation, pages 197-228, 2020.
  • V. Rufino, L. P. de Aguiar, D. Menasché, C. Lima, I. Cunha, E. Altman, R. El-Azoui, F. de Pellegrini, A. Avritzer, and M. Grottke. Beyond herd immunity against strategic attackers. IEEE Access 8:66365-66399, 2020.
  • L. Kölbl and M. Grottke. Obtaining more specific topics and detecting weak signals by topic word selection. In H. Pham (ed.), Reliability and Statistical Computing, pages 193-206, 2020.
  • L. Kölbl, C. Mühlroth, F. Wiser, M. Grottke, and C. Durst. Big Data im Innovationsmanagement: Wie Machine Learning die Suche nach Trends und Technologien revolutioniert. HMD Praxis der Wirtschaftsinformatik 56(5):900-913, 2019.
  • L. Kölbl and M. Grottke. Topic word selection for topics modeled with latent Dirichlet allocation. In Proc. 2019 ISSAT International Conference on Data Science and Intelligent Systems, pages 17-21, 2019.
  • J. Knoll, J. Stübinger, and M. Grottke. Exploiting social media with higher-order Factorization Machines: Statistical arbitrage on high-frequency data of the S&P 500. Quantitative Finance 19(4):571-585, 2019.
  • N. Agarwal, A. Brem, and M. Grottke. Towards a higher socio-economic impact through shared understanding of product requirements in emerging markets: The case of the Indian healthcare innovations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 135:91-98, 2018.
  • M. Grottke, J. Hacker, and C. Durst. Which factors determine our online social capital? An analysis based on structural equation modeling. Australasian Journal of Information Systems 22, 2018.
  • C. Mühlroth and M. Grottke. A systematic literature review of mining weak signals and trends for corporate foresight. Journal of Business Economics 88(5):643–687, 2018.
    [Full text via Springer Nature SharedIt; Preprint available here as a pdf document, 262 kB]
  • N. Agarwal, M. Grottke, S. Mishra, and A. Brem. A systematic literature review of constraint-based innovations: State of the art and future perspectives. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 64(1):3-15, 2017.
  • M. Grottke, A. Avritzer, D. S. Menasché, L. Aguiar, and E. Altman. On the efficiency of sampling and countermeasures to critical-infrastructure-targeted malware campaigns. ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review 43(4):33-42, 2016.
  • M. Grottke, D. S. Kim, M. Nambiar, R. Natella, R. Mansharamani, and K. S. Trivedi. Recovery from software failures caused by Mandelbugs. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 65(1):70–87, 2016.
  • M. Grottke, A. Avritzer, D. S. Menasché, J. Alonso, L. Aguiar, and S. Alvarez. Models and metrics for the assessment of critical-infrastructure-targeted malware campaigns. In Proc. 26th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 330–335, 2015.
  • M. Grottke, J. Knoll, and R. Groß. How the distribution of the number of items rated per user influences the quality of recommendation. In Proc. 15th International Conference on Innovations for Community Services, 2015.
    [pdf document, 589 kB]
  • N. Agarwal, M. Grottke, and A. Brem. Understanding emerging market companies and customers: An empirical study of internal and external innovation terms for new product development. In Proc. 22nd Innovation & Product Management Conference, 2015.
  • A. Barcomb, M. Grottke, J.-P. Stauffert, D. Riehle, and S. Jahn. How developers acquire FLOSS skills. In Proc. 11th International Conference on Open Source Systems, pages 23-32, 2015.
  • C. Durst and M. Grottke. An empirical analysis of system-generated data in location-based crowdsourcing. In Proc. 12th International Conference on Wirtschaftsinformatik, pages 933-947, 2015.
  • B. Kilgert, L. Rybizki, M. Grottke, M. F. Neurath, and H. Neumann. Prospective long-term assessment of sedation-related adverse events and patient satisfaction for upper endoscopy and colonoscopy. Digestion 90(1):42-48, 2014.
  • N. Agarwal, A. Brem, and M. Grottke. A unified innovation approach to emerging markets: imperatives to play and win the game. In Proc. 21st International Product Development Management Conference, 2014.
  • J. Zhao, K. S. Trivedi, M. Grottke, J. Alonso, and Y. Wang. Ensuring the performance of Apache Web server affected by aging. IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing 11(2):130-141, 2014.
  • D. Cotroneo, M. Grottke, R. Natella, R. Pietrantuono, and K. S. Trivedi. Fault triggers in open-source software: An experience report. In Proc. 24th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 178-187, 2013.
  • J. Alonso, M. Grottke, A. P. Nikora, and K. S. Trivedi. An empirical investigation of fault repairs and mitigations in space mission system software. In Proc. 43rd Annual IEEE/IFIP International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks, 2013.
  • M. Grottke and B. Schleich. How does testing affect the availability of aging software systems? Performance Evaluation 70(3):179-196, 2013.
    [pdf Dokument, 398 kB]
  • M. Grottke and B. Schleich. Cost optimality in testing and rejuvenation. In Proc. 4th IEEE International Workshop on Software Aging and Rejuvenation, pages 259-264, 2012.
  • J. Alonso, M. Grottke, A. P. Nikora, and K. S. Trivedi. The nature of the times to flight software failure during space missions. In Proc. 23rd IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 331-340, 2012.
    [pdf document, 775 kB]
  • K. S. Trivedi, R. Mansharamani, D. S. Kim, M. Grottke, and M. Nambiar. Recovery from failures due to Mandelbugs in IT systems. In Proc. 17th IEEE Pacific Rim International Symposium on Dependable Computing, pages 224-233, 2011.
  • A. Beckhaus, L. M. Karg, C. A. Graf, M. Grottke, and D. Neumann. A decision support scheme for software process improvement prioritization. In J. Cordeiro, A. Ranchordas, and B. Shishka, editors, Software and Data Technologies, Communications in Computer and Information Science, Volume 50, Springer-Verlag, pages 85-93, 2011.
    [pdf document, 320 kB]
  • M. Grottke, V. Apte, K. S. Trivedi, and S. Woolet. Response time distributions in networks of queues. In R. Boucherie and N. Van Dijk, editors, Queueing Networks: A Fundamental Approach, Springer International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, Springer-Verlag, pages 587-641, 2011.
  • K. S. Trivedi, M. Grottke, and E. Andrade. Software fault mitigation and availability assurance techniques. International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management 1(4):340-350, 2011.
  • L. M. Karg, M. Grottke, and A. Beckhaus. A systematic literature review of software quality cost research. Journal of Systems and Software 84(3):415-427, 2011.
    [pdf document, 292 kB]
  • M. Grottke, L. M. Karg, and A. Beckhaus. Team factors and failure processing efficiency: An exploratory study of closed and open source software development. In Proc. 34th Annual IEEE International Computer Software and Applications Conference, pages 188-197, 2010.
    [pdf document, 158 kB]
  • M. Grottke, A. P. Nikora, and K. S. Trivedi. An empirical investigation of fault types in space mission system software. In Proc. 40th Annual IEEE/IFIP International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks, pages 447-456, 2010.
    [pdf document, 131 kB]
  • L. M. Karg, M. Grottke, and A. Beckhaus. Conformance quality and failure costs in the software industry: An empirical analysis of open source software. In Proc. IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, pages 1386-1390, 2009.
    [pdf document, 68 kB]
  • A. Beckhaus, L. M. Karg, C. A. Graf, M. Grottke, and D. Neumann. Prioritization of software process improvements: A COQUALMO-based case study and derived decision support scheme. In Proc. 4th International Conference on Software and Data Technologies, Volume 1, pages 139-144, 2009.
  • M. Grottke and C. Graf. Modeling and predicting software failure costs. In Proc. 33rd Annual IEEE International Computer Software and Applications Conference, pages 180-189, 2009.
    [pdf document, 180 kB]
  • M. Grottke, R. Matias Jr., and K. S. Trivedi. The fundamentals of software aging. In Proc. 1st International Workshop on Software Aging and Rejuvenation/19th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, 2008.
    [pdf document, 58 kB]
  • M. Grottke, H. Sun, R. M. Fricks, and K. S. Trivedi. Ten fallacies of availability and reliability analysis. In Proc. 5th International Service Availability Symposium, pages 187-206, 2008.
    [pdf document, 705 kB]
  • H. Okamura, M. Grottke, T. Dohi, and K. S. Trivedi. Variational Bayesian approach for interval estimation of NHPP-based software reliability models. In Proc. International IEEE Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks 2007, pages 698-707, 2007.
    [pdf document, 293 kB]
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. Fighting bugs: Remove, retry, replicate, and rejuvenate. IEEE Computer 40(2):107-109, 2007.
    [pdf document, 298 kB]
  • A. Avritzer, A. Bondi, M. Grottke, K. S. Trivedi, and E. J. Weyuker. Performance assurance via software rejuvenation: Monitoring, statistics and algorithms. In Proc. International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks 2006, pages 435-444, 2006.
    [pdf document, 346 kB]
  • M. Grottke, L. Li, K. Vaidyanathan, and K. S. Trivedi. Analysis of software aging in a web server. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 55(3):411-420, 2006.
    [pdf document, 352 kB]
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. On a method for mending time to failure distributions. In Proc. International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks 2005, pages 560-569, 2005.
    [pdf document, 505 kB]
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. Truncated non-homogeneous Poisson process models – Properties and performance. OPSEARCH 42(4):310-321, 2005.
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. Software faults, software aging and software rejuvenation. Journal of the Reliability Engineering Association of Japan 27(7):425-438, 2005.
    [pdf document, 1.7 MB]
  • M. Grottke. A vector Markov model for structural coverage growth and the number of failure occurrences. In Proc. Thirteenth International IEEE Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 304-315, 2002.
  • M. Grottke and K. Dussa-Zieger. Systematic vs. operational testing: The necessity for different failure models. In Proc. Fifth Conference on Quality Engineering in Software Technology, pages 59-68, 2001.

  • M. Grottke. Prognose von Softwarezuverlässigkeit, Softwareversagensfällen und Softwarefehlern. In: P. Mertens and S. Rässler, editors, Prognoserechnung, 7th edition, Springer/Physica, Berlin, 2012, pages 585-619.
    [pdf document, 230 kB]
  • K. S. Trivedi, G. Ciardo, B. Dasarathy, M. Grottke, R. Matias, A. Rindos, and B. Vashaw. Achieving and assuring high availability. In Proc. 5th International Service Availability Symposium, pages 20-25, 2008.
  • K. S. Trivedi, G. Ciardo, B. Dasarathy, M. Grottke, A. Rindos, and B. Vashaw. Achieving and assuring high availability. In Proc. 13th IEEE Workshop on Dependable Parallel, Distributed and Network-Centric Systems/22nd IEEE International Parallel & Distributed Processing Symposium, 2008.
    [pdf document, 86 kB]
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. A classification of software faults. In Supplemental Proc. Sixteenth International IEEE Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 4.19-4.20, 2005.
    [pdf document, 37 kB]
  • M. Grottke. Prognose von Softwarezuverlässigkeit, Softwareversagensfällen und Softwarefehlern. In: P. Mertens and S. Rässler, editors, Prognoserechnung, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, 6th edition, 2005, pages 459-487.
  • M. Grottke. A Markov model for software code construct coverage and fault detection. In H. Langseth and B. Lindqvist (ed.). Communications of the 3rd International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability, pages 259-262, 2002.
  • M. Grottke. Modelling structural coverage and the number of failure occurrences with non-homogeneous Markov chains, In Supplemental Proc. Twelfth International IEEE Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, pages 245-246, 2001.
  • M. Grottke and K. Dussa-Zieger. Prediction of software failures based on systematic testing. In Electronic Proc. Ninth European Conference on Software Testing Analysis and Review, 2001.
    [pdf document, 205 kB]

  • M. Grottke. Dealing with software faults throughout the software life cycle. (Cumulative) Habilitation thesis, Nürnberg, 2009.
  • M. Grottke, T. Atmaca, M. Gilg, B. Hilt, and C. Dini, editors. Proc. 4th International Conference on Digital Telecommunications, IEEE Computer Society Press, Los Alamitos, 2009.
  • D. Greenwood, M. Grottke, H. Lutfiyya, and M. Popescu, editors. Proc. 4th IEEE International Conference on Autonomic and Autonomous Systems, IEEE Computer Society Press, Los Alamitos, 2008.
  • M. Grottke. Modeling Software Failures during Systematic Testing – The Influence of Environmental Factors. Shaker Verlag, Aachen, 2003
  • M. Grottke. Modeling Software Failures during Systematic Testing – The Influence of Environmental Factors. PhD thesis, Nürnberg, 2003.
  • M. Grottke. Entwicklung eines Prognosesystems für Verbindungsdaten eines Netzwerkproviders und seine prototypische Integration in die bestehende IV-Infrastruktur (Development of an online monitoring system for predicting the traffic at a network provider’s sites). Diplomarbeit (Master thesis), Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 1998.

  • I. Klein und M. Grottke. On J.M. Keynes‘ „The Principal Averages and the Laws of Error which Lead to Them“ – Refinement and Generalisation. IWQW Discussion Paper 07/2008, Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik und Quantitative Wirtschaftsforschung, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2008.
    [pdf document, 243 kB]
  • M. Grottke, L. Li, K. Vaidyanathan, and K. S. Trivedi. Analysis of software aging in a web server. Discussion Paper 69/2005, Chairs of Statistics, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2005.
  • M. Grottke and K. S. Trivedi. On a method for mending time to failure distributions. Discussion Paper 66/2004, Chairs of Statistics, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2004.
    [pdf document, 642 kB]
  • M. Grottke and S. Rässler. Über Belegungs-, Couponsammler- und Komiteeprobleme (On occupancy, coupon collector’s and committee problems). Discussion Paper 49/2003, Chairs of Statistics, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2003.
    [pdf document, 491 kB]
  • M. Grottke. Enhanced new software reliability model. Research Report A.6, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2003.
  • M. Grottke. Analysis and evaluation of experiments. Research Report C.9, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2003.
  • M. Grottke. Properties of a software failure model for systematic testing. Discussion Paper 44/2002, Chairs of Statistics, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2002.
  • M. Grottke. New software reliability model. Research Report A.5, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2002.
  • M. Grottke. Modelling structural coverage and the number of failure occurrences with non-homogeneous Markov chains. Discussion Paper 41/2001, Chairs of Statistics, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2001.
    [pdf document, 298 kB]
  • M. Grottke and D. Söhnlein. Justified model selection. Research Report A.4, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2001.
  • M. Grottke. Software process maturity model study. Research Report A.3, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2001.
    [pdf document, 235 kB]
  • M. Grottke. Software reliability model study. Research Report A.2, Project PETS, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Nürnberg, 2001.
    [pdf document, 312 kB]

Presentations

  • The fundamentals of software aging. Invited lecture, Duke University, February 2022.
  • Software faults – and how to mitigate them. Invited talk, Ground Based Strategic Deterrent Program, Hill Air Force Base, August 2021.
  • Better decisions with AI?. Invited panelist. AI-Enabled Tech Foresight Summit, September 2020.
  • Die Erkennung von schwachen Signalen und Trends im Unternehmensumfeld: Eine systematische Literaturanalyse und neue Ergebnisse. Invited talk. Wissenschaftstagung der Erich-Gutenberg-Gesellschaft, September 2020.
  • Fighting (aging-related) bugs. Keynote, 30th International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering/11th International Workshop on Software Aging and Rejuvenation, Berlin, October 2019.
  • Advanced software reliability and availability models. Tutorial given at 26th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Gaithersburg, November 2015. (Part of the Tutorial Certificate Program of IEEE Reliability Society.)
  • The exterminator’s tale: Software bugs and how to treat them. Invited talk given at the 15th International Conference on Innovations for Community Services, Nuremberg, July 2015.
  • Software reliability. Invited talk at Beihang University, Beijing, December 2014. (Part of the Tutorial Certificate Program of IEEE Reliability Society.)
  • Advanced software reliability and availability models. (With K.S. Trivedi, J. Alonso, and N. Nikora.) Tutorial given at the 25th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Naples, November 2014. (Part of the Tutorial Certificate Program of IEEE Reliability Society.)
  • Ist Justitia wirklich blind? Statistische Analyse der Entscheidungen des Bundesverfassungsgerichts. (Is Justice blind. Statistical analysis of the judgements of the Federal Constitutional Court.) Presentation given for Hans Frisch Foundation, Nuremberg, July 2014.
  • Was kostet die komplette Fußball-WM? Panini-Sammler-Probleme gelöst. (How much is the complete FIFA World Cup? Solutions to coupon collector’s problems.) Presentation given at JOSEPHS – Die Service-Manufaktur, Nuremberg, July 2014.
  • Program debugging: Transitioning from research to practice. Invited panelist at the 4th International Workshop on Program Debugging, Pasadena, November 2013.
  • Advanced software reliability and availability models. (With K.S. Trivedi and J. Alonso.) Tutorial given at the 23th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Pasadena, November 2013.
  • Modeling the behavior of aging software systems during tests and operations. Invited presentation given at Philipps-Universität Marburg, February 2013.
  • Prediction of software failure costs. Hiroshima-University, February 2010.
  • Was kosten Fehler? (How much are faults?) Presentation given at the ‚Competence Day Testing‘ held by the Federal Employment Office, Lauf, October 2009.
  • How self-adaptive systems can deal with software faults. Invited presentation given at the Workshop Organic Computing – Controlled Self-organization, Schloss Dagstuhl, Wadern, April 2008.
  • Achieving high availability via software rejuvenation and multiple levels of recovery. Invited presentation given at the Workshop Mathematical Methodologies for Operational Risk (organized by scientists from the Technische Universiteit Eindhoven, the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, the University of Strathclyde, and the London School of Economics), EURANDOM, Eindhoven, April 2007.

  • An empirical analysis of system-generated data in location-based crowdsourcing. (With C. Durst.) Presentation given at the 12th International Conference on Wirtschaftsinformatik, Osnabrück, March 2015.
  • A queuing model and its application to software rejuvenation. Presentation given at the Annual Meeting of the German Statistical Society (DStatG) 2014, Hanover, September 2014.
  • A queuing model and its application to software rejuvenation. resentation given at Operations Research 2014, Aachen, September 2014.
  • Empirical investigation of fault triggers in open-source software. Presentation given at the 24th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Pasadena, November 2013.
  • Cost optimality in testing and rejuvenation. Presentation given at the 4th IEEE International Workshop on Software Aging and Rejuvenation, Dallas, November 2012.
  • The nature of the times to flight software failure during space missions. Presentation given at the 23rd IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Dallas, November 2012.
  • The effects of software testing on availability. Presentation given at the Annual Meeting of the German Statistical Society (DStatG), Nuremberg, September 2010.
  • An empirical investigation of fault types in space mission system software. Presentation given at the 40th Annual IEEE/IFIP International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks, Chicago, June 2010.
  • Modeling and predicting software failure costs. Presentation given at the 33rd Annual IEEE International Computer Software and Applications Conference, Seattle, July 2009.
  • Variationelle Bayes-Ansätze zur Schätzung von Softwarezuverlässigkeitsmodellen (Variational Bayesian approaches to estimating software reliability models). Presentation given at the Pentecost Conference of the German Statistical Society (DStatG), Merseburg, June 2009.
  • Fehlerfolgekosten aus Sicht eines Softwareherstellers (Failure costs from a software developer’s point of view). Presentation given at the Software & Systems Quality Conference 2009, Düsseldorf, May 2009.
  • The fundamentals of software aging. Presentation given at the 1st International Workshop on Software Aging and Rejuvenation, Redmond/Seattle, November 2008.
  • Truncated non-homogeneous Poisson process models for software reliability growth. Poster presentation given at the IBM University Day, Research Triangle Park, April 2006.
  • Software bugs – A bestiary. Poster presentation given at the IBM University Day, Research Triangle Park, October 2005.
  • Analysis of software aging in a web server. Poster presentation given at the IBM University Day, Research Triangle Park, May 2005.
  • A vector Markov model for structural coverage growth and the number of failure occurrences. Presentation given at the Thirteenth International IEEE Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Annapolis, November 2002.
  • A Markov model for software code construct coverage and fault detection. Presentation given at the Third International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability, Trondheim, June 2002.
  • Modelling structural coverage and the number of failure occurrences with non-homogeneous Markov chains. Poster presentation given at the Twelfth International IEEE Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Hong Kong, November 2001.
  • Prediction of software failures based on systematic testing. Presentation given at the Ninth European Conference on Software Testing Analysis and Review, Stockholm, November 2001.
  • Systematic vs. operational testing: The necessity for different failure models. Presentation given at the Fifth Conference on Quality Engineering in Software Technology, Nuremberg, September 2001.
  • Software Reliability Engineering – Eine Einführung (An Introduction to Software Reliability Engineering). Presentation given at a working group meeting of the Arbeitskreis Software-Qualität Franken (ASQF), July 2000.